Resources
Check out our published white papers and favorite coastal resilience resources here.
White Papers
Sea Level Rise Predictions
Summary
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Rates of sea level rise (SLR) have increased three-fold over recent decades.
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Future scenarios of SLR
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BCDC recommends planning for 0.8 ft of SLR by 2050 and considering rates of 3.1 to 6.6 ft of rise by the year 2100.
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With 3.5 feet of SLR, what is now a 100-year storm event will become an everyday occurrence (high tide).
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SLR is projected to increase the frequency of nuisance high tide flooding from a couple days per year in 2020 to nearly 20 days per year in 2050.
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Subsidence
Vertical land motion (VLM), or subsidence, for San Francisco is -0.1 inches/decade, or -0.25 mm/year of subsidence ((OPC 2024; Appendix 3; Table 15). Small compared to current and projected future rates of SLR.
Coastal Resilience Resources
The Canal Community Resilience Planning Project is a collaborative effort exploring the feasibility of different adaptation actions to address flooding risks.
Helps local leaders understand their vulnerabilities, identify actions to take, find funding, read about existing regional policies, and find experts who can consult on flooding/sea level rise/extreme heat, etc.
A resource with countless links to existing coastal resilience strategies, along with a membership/network program that allows you to connect with other professionals
"A regional strategy for a rising bay," convened by the San Francisco Bay Conservation and Development Commission
These “flood nerds” provide AI-enabled economic impact modeling that can be leveraged by city planners to ensure their residents are safe for decades to come
Developed by the Biden Administration, this resource compiles case studies of existing coastal resilience projects and offers "how-to's" for establishing resilience nationally
The State of California’s consolidated searchable database of resources for local, regional and statewide climate adaptation planning and decision-making
Marin County Resources
Countywide Sea Level Rise Adaptation Organizational Structure and Decision-making Process - Nov. 2024
Transportation Authority of Marin ( TAM ) BayWave Resources